Queens Park 0-5 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.65
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.68
2-3 Goals
45%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.02
6+ Goals
7%
19.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
17%
8.98
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
7%
17.4
X/1
8%
10.25
X/2
18%
4.06
X/X
9%
4.6
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
21%
2.19
2/X
6%
15.4
Value flag · 1/1 at 8.98 — our 17% vs market 7.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
19%
+11.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens Park EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 59%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.06/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.76
-23% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +32%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens Park
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Livingston
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
04.01.2025 Queens Park Queens Park 2-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
02.11.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-0 Queens Park Queens Park İKCL
09.08.2024 Queens Park Queens Park 1-1 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
22.04.2017 Livingston Livingston 4-0 HT 1-0 Queens Park Queens Park İK1
04.03.2017 Queens Park Queens Park 1-1 HT 1-1 Livingston Livingston İK1
24.12.2016 Livingston Livingston 1-2 HT 1-0 Queens Park Queens Park İK1
POST-MATCH Queens Park vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston cruised past Queens Park 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Livingston as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queens Park had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Queens Park and 1.33 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Queens Park vs Livingston?

Queens Park 0-5 Livingston in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens Park vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated an Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Queens Park 31%, draw 22%, Livingston 47%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livingston), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Livingston) ✓ BTTS No
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