Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
1-2 HT 0-1
Manchester City (K)
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2024/2025

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.2pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-10.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) v Manchester City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.27/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.19/0.70
-64% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / -43%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
261 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
27.0 Crosses 19.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Manchester City (K)
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 3.80
0.54 xG 3.04
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
248 Passes 517
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 48
11 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
29.09.2024 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
17.03.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-4 HT 0-2 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
15.12.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 5-0 HT 3-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
27.01.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 3-0 HT 3-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
21.10.2018 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-6 HT 0-2 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
1-2
AWAY Manchester City (K)
1.99 xG 1.77
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
301 Passes 263
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
44 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) nicked a narrow win over Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) had 54% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 46%, shots finished 23-12, expected goals 1.99 to 1.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) and 3.80 for Manchester City (K).

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 26%, draw 27%, Manchester City (K) 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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