Chelsea (K) 2-2 West Ham United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
15%
2/2
3%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
82%
-13.2pp
18%
Draw
11%
+6.6pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.7pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.46/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.33
+1% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -6%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
486 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
42.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
25.9 Crosses 14.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea (K)
4W-1D-0L
AWAY West Ham United (K)
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
2.01 xG 0.79
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
386 Passes 237
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
55 Box Touches 8
29 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.01.2025 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) 0-5 HT 0-3 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
24.03.2024 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
27.10.2019 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) 1-3 HT 0-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
31.03.2019 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) İNKPL
04.11.2018 West Ham United (K) West Ham United (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea (K)
2-2
AWAY West Ham United (K)
2.53 xG 1.14
67% Ball Possession 33%
24 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
477 Passes 184
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
64 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chelsea (K) vs West Ham United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) and West Ham United (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chelsea (K) at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

On the day, Chelsea (K) had 67% of the ball to West Ham United (K)'s 33%, shots finished 24-14, expected goals 2.53 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Chelsea (K) and 0.40 for West Ham United (K).

What was the final score of Chelsea (K) vs West Ham United (K)?

Chelsea (K) 2-2 West Ham United (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea (K) vs West Ham United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 69%, draw 18%, West Ham United (K) 13%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelsea (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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