Vasalund IF 2-0 Karlbergs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
30%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-13.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
17%
+12.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.34/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.76
+11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasalund IF
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Karlbergs BK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2024 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 3-1 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
29.03.2024 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 3-1 HT 0-1 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasalund IF
2-0
AWAY Karlbergs BK
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vasalund IF vs Karlbergs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasalund IF got the better of Karlbergs BK 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vasalund IF as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vasalund IF had 47% of the ball to Karlbergs BK's 53%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Vasalund IF and 2.00 for Karlbergs BK.

What was the final score of Vasalund IF vs Karlbergs BK?

Vasalund IF 2-0 Karlbergs BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasalund IF vs Karlbergs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasalund IF win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vasalund IF 47%, draw 23%, Karlbergs BK 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasalund IF) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vasalund IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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