Cordoba 1-2 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
4.39
6+ Goals
8%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.77
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
5.48
X/2
9%
6.06
X/X
18%
3.9
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
15%
4.42
2/X
7%
13.25
Value flag · X/1 at 5.48 — our 20% vs market 14.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+2.9pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.5pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cordoba EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.24/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.26
+47% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.2 Crosses 19.8
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cordoba
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Elche
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.78 xG 1.52
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
297 Passes 292
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.09.2024 Elche Elche 3-1 HT 1-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
07.04.2019 Elche Elche 1-0 HT 1-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
01.12.2018 Cordoba Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-1 Elche Elche İS2
16.10.2018 Elche Elche 1-4 HT 0-2 Cordoba Cordoba İSPK
02.04.2017 Cordoba Cordoba 1-0 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
22.10.2016 Elche Elche 1-1 HT 1-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cordoba
1-2
AWAY Elche
1.38 xG 0.70
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
180 Passes 280
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cordoba vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche edged past Cordoba 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Elche made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cordoba had 44% of the ball to Elche's 56%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.38 to 0.70 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cordoba.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cordoba and 1.17 for Elche.

What was the final score of Cordoba vs Elche?

Cordoba 1-2 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cordoba vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cordoba 40%, draw 31%, Elche 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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