Albacete 3-2 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.64
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
4.26
6+ Goals
8%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.65
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
10%
12.85
X/1 EV+ ✓
22%
5.43
X/2
10%
6.22
X/X
14%
3.95
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
11%
4.52
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · X/1 at 5.43 — our 22% vs market 14.4%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.9pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -16%
1.55/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.37
-5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
21.4 Crosses 17.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mirandes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.42 xG 1.74
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
367 Passes 271
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Mirandes Mirandes 2-0 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
26.05.2024 Albacete Albacete 2-2 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
16.12.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 2-0 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
27.05.2023 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
03.12.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 4-2 HT 3-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
18.04.2021 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
3-2
AWAY Mirandes
0.76 xG 1.88
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
150 Passes 288
64% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete edged past Mirandes 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Albacete found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Albacete had 38% of the ball to Mirandes's 62%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.76 to 1.88 — on chances, Mirandes could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mirandes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Albacete and 1.83 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Mirandes?

Albacete 3-2 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Albacete 39%, draw 32%, Mirandes 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albacete), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Albacete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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