Albacete 2-2 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.73
No
57%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 31% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.46
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
15%
5.24
X/2
10%
5.83
X/X
17%
4.53
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
15%
4.03
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.9pp
57%
BTTS No
46%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -13%
1.44/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.89
-13% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.7 Crosses 13.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mirandes
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.34 xG 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
277 Passes 300
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.12.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 2-0 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
27.05.2023 Albacete Albacete 2-1 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
03.12.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 4-2 HT 3-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
18.04.2021 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
21.12.2020 Mirandes Mirandes 0-2 HT 0-2 Albacete Albacete İS2
16.02.2020 Mirandes Mirandes 1-1 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
2-2
AWAY Mirandes
1.72 xG 2.43
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 3
505 Passes 236
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
39 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete and Mirandes shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Albacete at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Albacete had 65% of the ball to Mirandes's 35%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.72 to 2.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albacete had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Albacete and 1.33 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Mirandes?

Albacete 2-2 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Albacete 42%, draw 27%, Mirandes 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Albacete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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