Huesca 3-2 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.27
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.17
6+ Goals
10%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.35
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
14%
4.89
X/2
10%
6.67
X/X
17%
3.63
2/1
9%
33.5
2/2
11%
5.42
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+1.6pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.3pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huesca EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.21/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.34
+3% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.8 Crosses 17.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huesca
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.40 xG 1.16
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
281 Passes 361
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2024 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-1 HT 1-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
14.01.2024 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
01.10.2023 Huesca Huesca 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
12.02.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 1-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
25.11.2022 Huesca Huesca 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
07.05.2022 Huesca Huesca 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huesca
3-2
AWAY Sporting Gijon
3.32 xG 1.10
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
379 Passes 298
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 23
30 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Huesca vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huesca edged past Sporting Gijon 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Huesca as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Huesca had 56% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 44%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 3.32 to 1.10 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Huesca's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Huesca and 0.83 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Huesca vs Sporting Gijon?

Huesca 3-2 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huesca vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huesca win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Huesca 43%, draw 30%, Sporting Gijon 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Huesca) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Huesca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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