Sporting Gijon 2-1 Huesca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.26
2-3 Goals
44%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
5.45
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.27
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.9
X/1
16%
3.61
X/2
13%
9.95
X/X
12%
3.89
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
9%
9.26
2/X
7%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
55%
-11.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Huesca EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +20%
1.30/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.24
-10% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +66%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
21.7 Crosses 13.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Huesca
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.99 xG 0.52
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
373 Passes 266
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2024 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 0-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
01.10.2023 Huesca Huesca 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
12.02.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 1-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
25.11.2022 Huesca Huesca 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
07.05.2022 Huesca Huesca 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
10.12.2021 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
2-1
AWAY Huesca
1.87 xG 0.32
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
320 Passes 382
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Huesca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon squeezed past Huesca 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting Gijon as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 47% of the ball to Huesca's 53%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.87 to 0.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sporting Gijon's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sporting Gijon and 0.50 for Huesca.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Huesca?

Sporting Gijon 2-1 Huesca in the Spain - 2nd Division on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Huesca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 43%, draw 30%, Huesca 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Gijon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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