Burgos 1-1 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 24 Oct 2024

Burgos
1-1 HT 1-1
Racing Ferrol
📅24/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Burgos vs Racing Ferrol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.17
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.76
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.45
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.35
X/1
12%
3.88
X/2
7%
9.35
X/X
19%
3.55
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
13%
8.51
2/X
4%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.1pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.4pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burgos v Racing Ferrol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 22%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.65/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.33
+36% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.6 Crosses 20.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Burgos vs Racing Ferrol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.96 xG 1.38
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
252 Passes 442
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Burgos Burgos 2-0 HT 2-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
19.11.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
04.05.2014 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-0 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS3
15.12.2013 Burgos Burgos 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
03.03.2002 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 3-0 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
14.10.2001 Burgos Burgos 2-4 HT 1-2 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2

Burgos 1-1 Racing Ferrol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
1-1
AWAY Racing Ferrol
0.71 xG 0.66
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 5
258 Passes 282
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos and Racing Ferrol couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Burgos at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Burgos had 48% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 52%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.71 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Ferrol led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Burgos and 1.50 for Racing Ferrol.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Racing Ferrol?

Burgos 1-1 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Burgos 48%, draw 28%, Racing Ferrol 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Burgos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burgos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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