Almeria 3-1 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 24 Oct 2024

Almeria
3-1 HT 1-1
Albacete
📅24/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Almeria vs Albacete Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.87
2-3 Goals
43%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.98
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.8
X/1
20%
4.06
X/2
7%
10.7
X/X
15%
6.22
2/1
6%
20.45
2/2
12%
7.5
2/X
5%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-9.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almeria v Albacete — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 23%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
2.10/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.48
+35% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
15.8 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Almeria vs Albacete Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Albacete
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.56 xG 0.96
59% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
366 Passes 220
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.05.2021 Almeria Almeria 1-1 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
23.11.2020 Albacete Albacete 1-2 HT 0-1 Almeria Almeria İS2
14.06.2020 Albacete Albacete 0-1 HT 0-1 Almeria Almeria İS2
17.08.2019 Almeria Almeria 3-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
08.06.2019 Almeria Almeria 3-0 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
21.10.2018 Albacete Albacete 1-1 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS2

Almeria 3-1 Albacete — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria
3-1
AWAY Albacete
1.79 xG 2.19
52% Ball Possession 48%
23 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
383 Passes 348
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Almeria vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria got the better of Albacete 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Almeria as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Almeria had 52% of the ball to Albacete's 48%, shots finished 23-15, expected goals 1.79 to 2.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Almeria and 0.50 for Albacete.

What was the final score of Almeria vs Albacete?

Almeria 3-1 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Almeria 48%, draw 27%, Albacete 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almeria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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