Levante 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 24 Oct 2024

📅24/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 31% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.9
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
10%
12.45
X/1
12%
4.9
X/2
9%
6.97
X/X
15%
4.77
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
12%
4.78
2/X
5%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.6pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levante EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.46/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.62
+15% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.4 Crosses 14.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levante
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.76 xG 0.87
52% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 Passes 283
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 16
36 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
27.01.2018 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-2 HT 2-0 Levante Levante İS1
26.08.2017 Levante Levante 2-2 HT 1-2 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1
19.03.2016 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 HT 1-0 Levante Levante İS1
07.11.2015 Levante Levante 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1
17.05.2015 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-0 HT 1-0 Levante Levante İS1
09.01.2015 Levante Levante 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levante
2-1
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.53 xG 1.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
318 Passes 463
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Levante vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levante nicked a narrow win over Deportivo La Coruna 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Levante as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Levante had 43% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 57%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.53 to 1.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Levante and 1.50 for Deportivo La Coruna.

What was the final score of Levante vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Levante 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 24/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levante vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Levante 41%, draw 30%, Deportivo La Coruna 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levante) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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