Breidablik 3-1 KA Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Super Cup, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.7pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.8pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
415 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
4W-2D-0L
AWAY KA Akureyri
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.10 xG 1.24
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
378 Passes 259
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.09.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-3 HT 1-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
19.06.2024 Breidablik Breidablik 2-1 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
13.08.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-1 HT 1-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
04.07.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-3 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZK
21.05.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 2-0 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
08.10.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-2 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
3-1
AWAY KA Akureyri
2.54 xG 1.63
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
555 Passes 203
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs KA Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik got the better of KA Akureyri 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Breidablik had 68% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 32%, shots finished 18-13, expected goals 2.54 to 1.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Breidablik and 1.33 for KA Akureyri.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs KA Akureyri?

Breidablik 3-1 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Super Cup on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs KA Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 54%, draw 21%, KA Akureyri 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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