Jahn Regensburg 2-1 Nürnberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 30 Mar 2025

Jahn Regensburg
2-1 HT 0-1
Nürnberg
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Jahn Regensburg vs Nürnberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.39
1/2
6%
25.0
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1
11%
7.25
X/2
16%
4.77
X/X
10%
4.8
2/1
9%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.83
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 51% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jahn Regensburg v Nürnberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.31/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.49
-24% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
262 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 75%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
20.3 Crosses 20.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Jahn Regensburg vs Nürnberg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nürnberg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.98 xG 1.53
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
280 Passes 302
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.10.2024 Nürnberg Nürnberg 8-3 HT 3-2 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
11.02.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
06.08.2022 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
19.02.2022 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-0 HT 1-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
12.09.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-2 HT 1-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
27.01.2021 Nürnberg Nürnberg 0-1 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2

Jahn Regensburg 2-1 Nürnberg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
2-1
AWAY Nürnberg
0.35 xG 0.97
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
211 Passes 460
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Nürnberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jahn Regensburg nicked a narrow win over Nürnberg 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nürnberg at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 35% of the ball to Nürnberg's 65%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.35 to 0.97 — the balance of chances actually favoured Nürnberg.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jahn Regensburg and 2.17 for Nürnberg.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Nürnberg?

Jahn Regensburg 2-1 Nürnberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Nürnberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nürnberg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 31%, draw 29%, Nürnberg 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nürnberg), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nürnberg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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