Greuther Fürth vs Schalke 04 Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Greuther Fürth v Schalke 04 — Team-Based Signals
Greuther Fürth vs Schalke 04 Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Greuther Fürth
AL2
1-2
HT 0-0
Greuther Fürth
AL1
0-2
HT 0-0
Schalke 04
AL1
Greuther Fürth 3-3 Schalke 04 — Actual Match Statistics
Greuther Fürth and Schalke 04 couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Greuther Fürth had 37% of the ball to Schalke 04's 63%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.47 to 1.22.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Greuther Fürth and 1.60 for Schalke 04.
What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Schalke 04?
Greuther Fürth 3-3 Schalke 04 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Schalke 04?
Before kick-off our model rated an Schalke 04 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 34%, draw 27%, Schalke 04 38%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.