Dynamo Dresden 2-0 Wehen Wiesbaden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.75
No
45%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.65
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.3
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
16%
4.36
X/2
6%
9.15
X/X
18%
5.26
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.9
2/2
10%
7.12
2/X
7%
15.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.9 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.8pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.81/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.68
+2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
458 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
28.3 Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.99 xG 1.97
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
364 Passes 287
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 39
22 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2024 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
06.05.2023 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 3-1 HT 1-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
08.11.2022 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-0 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
22.05.2021 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-1 HT 0-1 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
17.03.2021 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-0 HT 1-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL3
06.06.2020 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 2-3 HT 2-2 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
2-0
AWAY Wehen Wiesbaden
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
314 Passes 339
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Wehen Wiesbaden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden got the better of Wehen Wiesbaden 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dynamo Dresden as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden had 50% of the ball to Wehen Wiesbaden's 50%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 0.83 for Wehen Wiesbaden.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Dynamo Dresden 2-0 Wehen Wiesbaden in the Germany - 3rd Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Wehen Wiesbaden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 47%, draw 29%, Wehen Wiesbaden 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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