Ingolstadt 3-1 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
12.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.91
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
13%
5.0
X/2
11%
7.08
X/X
10%
5.03
2/1
7%
24.2
2/2
16%
4.98
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+6.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
1.29/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.90
+7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
19.5 Crosses 12.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ingolstadt
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
377 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2024 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 4-4 HT 2-1 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
03.03.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-3 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
03.10.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-0 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
22.04.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 3-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
30.10.2022 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-3 HT 1-2 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
06.02.2021 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ingolstadt
3-1
AWAY Viktoria Köln
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
230 Passes 450
78% Pass Accuracy 88%
11 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ingolstadt vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ingolstadt beat Viktoria Köln 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Ingolstadt found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ingolstadt had 36% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 64%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Köln led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ingolstadt and 2.50 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of Ingolstadt vs Viktoria Köln?

Ingolstadt 3-1 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ingolstadt vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ingolstadt 40%, draw 25%, Viktoria Köln 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ingolstadt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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