Viktoria Köln 4-4 Ingolstadt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 22 Oct 2024

Viktoria Köln
4-4 HT 2-1
Ingolstadt
📅22/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Viktoria Köln vs Ingolstadt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
15%
8.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.13
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.15
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
13%
6.55
X/2
12%
5.21
X/X
10%
5.42
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
22%
3.0
2/X
7%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
42%
+0.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viktoria Köln v Ingolstadt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ingolstadt EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.14/2.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.70
+18% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
333 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 81%
13.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
14.4 Crosses 20.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Viktoria Köln vs Ingolstadt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Köln
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Ingolstadt
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-3 HT 1-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
03.10.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-0 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
22.04.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 3-1 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3
30.10.2022 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 1-3 HT 1-2 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
06.02.2021 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt 2-1 HT 0-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
11.10.2020 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-0 HT 1-0 Ingolstadt Ingolstadt AL3

Viktoria Köln 4-4 Ingolstadt — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Köln
4-4
AWAY Ingolstadt
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
320 Passes 377
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Viktoria Köln vs Ingolstadt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Köln and Ingolstadt couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ingolstadt at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Viktoria Köln had 46% of the ball to Ingolstadt's 54%, shots finished 14-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Köln had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Viktoria Köln and 0.83 for Ingolstadt.

What was the final score of Viktoria Köln vs Ingolstadt?

Viktoria Köln 4-4 Ingolstadt in the Germany - 3rd Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Köln vs Ingolstadt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ingolstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Köln 34%, draw 23%, Ingolstadt 42%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ingolstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ingolstadt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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