Saarbrücken 2-0 Hansa Rostock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 27% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.59
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
16%
4.32
X/2
9%
7.7
X/X
11%
4.72
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
15%
5.8
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
2.34/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.62
+2% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +38%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 68%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
26.6 Crosses 20.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saarbrücken
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hansa Rostock
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.01.2021 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 4-2 HT 1-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
26.09.2020 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
25.03.2014 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 2-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
04.10.2013 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-0 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
27.04.2013 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-1 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
03.11.2012 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-0 HT 2-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saarbrücken
2-0
AWAY Hansa Rostock
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
286 Passes 356
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saarbrücken beat Hansa Rostock 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Saarbrücken as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Saarbrücken had 45% of the ball to Hansa Rostock's 55%, shots finished 12-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Saarbrücken and 1.17 for Hansa Rostock.

What was the final score of Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock?

Saarbrücken 2-0 Hansa Rostock in the Germany - 3rd Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saarbrücken vs Hansa Rostock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saarbrücken win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Saarbrücken 43%, draw 26%, Hansa Rostock 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saarbrücken), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saarbrücken) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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