Borussia Dortmund II 0-1 Waldhof Mannheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.71
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
10%
12.65
X/1
15%
5.94
X/2
12%
5.55
X/X
13%
5.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.5
2/2
13%
3.38
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.4pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-5.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borussia Dortmund II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -9%
1.49/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.37
+5% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
287 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
12.0 Crosses 15.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-2 HT 0-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
20.10.2023 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-3 HT 1-2 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
25.02.2023 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 4-0 HT 2-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
20.08.2022 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 2-1 HT 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
17.01.2022 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim 1-3 HT 1-0 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II AL3
31.07.2021 Borussia Dortmund II Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 HT 1-0 Waldhof Mannheim Waldhof Mannheim AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Borussia Dortmund II
0-1
AWAY Waldhof Mannheim
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
281 Passes 340
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Borussia Dortmund II vs Waldhof Mannheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waldhof Mannheim edged past Borussia Dortmund II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Waldhof Mannheim made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Borussia Dortmund II had 48% of the ball to Waldhof Mannheim's 52%, shots finished 11-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borussia Dortmund II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Borussia Dortmund II and 1.17 for Waldhof Mannheim.

What was the final score of Borussia Dortmund II vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Borussia Dortmund II 0-1 Waldhof Mannheim in the Germany - 3rd Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borussia Dortmund II vs Waldhof Mannheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borussia Dortmund II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Borussia Dortmund II 37%, draw 31%, Waldhof Mannheim 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Borussia Dortmund II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Borussia Dortmund II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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