Sandhausen 1-1 Stuttgart II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.57
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.88
6+ Goals
10%
8.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.45
X/1
15%
4.12
X/2
10%
10.05
X/X
9%
5.93
2/1
8%
20.9
2/2
11%
7.08
2/X
6%
14.95
Value flag · 1/X at 14.45 — our 10% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.53/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.91
-13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 4.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandhausen
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Stuttgart II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
14.04.2012 Sandhausen Sandhausen 1-0 HT 0-0 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
05.11.2011 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II 0-1 HT 0-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandhausen
1-1
AWAY Stuttgart II
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
299 Passes 446
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sandhausen vs Stuttgart II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandhausen and Stuttgart II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sandhausen at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sandhausen had 42% of the ball to Stuttgart II's 58%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sandhausen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sandhausen and 0.00 for Stuttgart II.

What was the final score of Sandhausen vs Stuttgart II?

Sandhausen 1-1 Stuttgart II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandhausen vs Stuttgart II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandhausen win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sandhausen 48%, draw 25%, Stuttgart II 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sandhausen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sandhausen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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