Wilstermann 0-1 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -4%
1.61/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.81
+23% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
20.9 Crosses 19.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wilstermann
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.19 xG 1.03
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
287 Passes 220
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2024 Wilstermann Wilstermann 3-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
23.09.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-2 HT 1-2 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
04.10.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-3 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
16.04.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
18.10.2022 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-3 HT 1-2 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
01.05.2022 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-2 HT 2-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wilstermann
0-1
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
0.87 xG 0.71
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
323 Passes 217
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wilstermann vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero edged past Wilstermann 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Wilstermann at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Wilstermann had 58% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 42%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 0.87 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Wilstermann and 1.83 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Wilstermann vs Independiente Petrolero?

Wilstermann 0-1 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wilstermann vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wilstermann win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wilstermann 45%, draw 27%, Independiente Petrolero 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Wilstermann) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wilstermann) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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