Gyeongju HNP 1-0 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.64
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
16%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
57%
+8.3pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.7pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-9.1pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
1.44/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.45
-12% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
299 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Busan Transportation
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
07.07.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
17.03.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-0 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
04.11.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 3-1 HT 2-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
09.06.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-2 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
26.06.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 3-1 HT 1-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
22.10.2021 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-3 HT 0-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP edged past Busan Transportation 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gyeongju HNP as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gyeongju HNP and 1.00 for Busan Transportation.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Busan Transportation?

Gyeongju HNP 1-0 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 66%, draw 19%, Busan Transportation 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongju HNP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GK3L More South Kore - K3 League
30 Mar 2025
08:00 Chuncheon Citizen vs Yangpyeong Analysis →