Jeju United 1-0 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 30 Mar 2025

Jeju United
1-0 HT 1-0
Suwon City
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2025

Jeju United vs Suwon City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
4.17
6+ Goals
8%
19.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.2
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
4%
13.25
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
5.0
X/2
15%
6.66
X/X
13%
4.29
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
6%
4.99
2/X
8%
13.8
Value flag · X/1 at 5.0 — our 24% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jeju United v Suwon City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.84/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.83
-41% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
22.0 Crosses 12.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5

Jeju United vs Suwon City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Suwon City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
348 Passes 428
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.08.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 5-0 HT 2-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
26.05.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
20.04.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 2-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
02.12.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 1-1 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
12.08.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 3-0 HT 2-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
14.05.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 0-5 HT 0-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK

Jeju United 1-0 Suwon City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
1-0
AWAY Suwon City
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 6
278 Passes 352
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United nicked a narrow win over Suwon City 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jeju United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Jeju United had 45% of the ball to Suwon City's 55%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeju United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Jeju United and 1.33 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Suwon City?

Jeju United 1-0 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeju United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 45%, draw 25%, Suwon City 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jeju United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jeju United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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