Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
4.31
6+ Goals
9%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.57
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
15%
4.34
X/2
7%
8.23
X/X
16%
4.41
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
15%
6.85
2/X
9%
15.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-10.0pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.80/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.46
+19% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses 15.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Gangwon
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.82 xG 0.97
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
462 Passes 312
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
09.08.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 HT 1-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
22.06.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 2-3 HT 2-3 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
27.04.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
06.09.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
08.07.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 3-2 HT 2-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1-0
AWAY Gangwon
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 399
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu nicked a narrow win over Gangwon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Gimcheon Sangmu found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 44% of the ball to Gangwon's 56%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.33 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gangwon?

Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 40%, draw 31%, Gangwon 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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