Kowloon City 3-4 North District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.38
No
46%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.9pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kowloon City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY North District EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -49%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kowloon City
2W-0D-1L
AWAY North District
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
15 Total Shots 21
10 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.01.2025 North District North District 3-1 HT 3-0 Kowloon City Kowloon City HK1
15.09.2024 North District North District 2-3 HT 0-2 Kowloon City Kowloon City HK1
19.03.2023 Kowloon City Kowloon City 2-0 HT 2-0 North District North District HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kowloon City
3-4
AWAY North District
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kowloon City vs North District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North District nicked a narrow win over Kowloon City 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day North District made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kowloon City had 53% of the ball to North District's 47%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kowloon City had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kowloon City and 1.67 for North District.

What was the final score of Kowloon City vs North District?

Kowloon City 3-4 North District in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kowloon City vs North District?

Before kick-off our model rated an North District win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kowloon City 37%, draw 25%, North District 38%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North District), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (North District) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK1 More Hong Kong - Premier League
30 Mar 2025
13:00 Lee Man vs Wofoo Tai Po Analysis →