ADO Den Haag 2-1 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.31
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
22%
2.81
6+ Goals
11%
7.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.28
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
15%
4.58
X/2
7%
9.06
X/X
11%
5.89
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.85
2/2
9%
6.5
2/X
6%
14.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.85 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADO Den Haag EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +19%
1.64/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.78
-8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
22.6 Crosses 16.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADO Den Haag
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Dordrecht
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.79 xG 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
336 Passes 272
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
11.03.2024 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 1-2 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
24.11.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-2 HT 2-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
12.05.2023 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 2-2 HT 1-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
06.01.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
25.03.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 3-1 HT 1-1 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADO Den Haag
2-1
AWAY Dordrecht
1.98 xG 1.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
251 Passes 250
66% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH ADO Den Haag vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO Den Haag nicked a narrow win over Dordrecht 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had ADO Den Haag as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, ADO Den Haag had 50% of the ball to Dordrecht's 50%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.98 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for ADO Den Haag and 1.67 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of ADO Den Haag vs Dordrecht?

ADO Den Haag 2-1 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADO Den Haag vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADO Den Haag win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split ADO Den Haag 50%, draw 26%, Dordrecht 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADO Den Haag), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADO Den Haag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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