PSV Eindhoven 0-2 Ajax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.68
2-3 Goals
38%
2.05
4-5 Goals
27%
2.57
6+ Goals
12%
5.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.89
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
12%
4.43
X/2
8%
11.65
X/X
11%
7.14
2/1
7%
18.9
2/2
13%
8.22
2/X
6%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.11/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.51
+29% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
21.5 Crosses 13.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ajax
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.91 xG 1.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
336 Passes 431
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Ajax Ajax 3-2 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
03.02.2024 Ajax Ajax 1-1 HT 1-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
29.10.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5-2 HT 1-2 Ajax Ajax HOL
30.04.2023 Ajax Ajax 1-1 HT 1-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOK
23.04.2023 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 3-0 HT 1-0 Ajax Ajax HOL
06.11.2022 Ajax Ajax 1-2 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
0-2
AWAY Ajax
1.17 xG 0.88
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
477 Passes 276
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
42 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax saw off PSV Eindhoven 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was PSV Eindhoven at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 61% of the ball to Ajax's 39%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.17 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 1.33 for Ajax.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax?

PSV Eindhoven 0-2 Ajax in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 50%, draw 23%, Ajax 27%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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