Utrecht 2-0 Heerenveen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 30 Mar 2025

Utrecht
2-0 HT 1-0
Heerenveen
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Utrecht vs Heerenveen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.03
Over 2.5
62%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
3.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.14
6+ Goals
15%
10.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.49
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
35.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
17%
4.71
X/2
11%
8.44
X/X
7%
5.16
2/1
9%
22.9
2/2
11%
6.18
2/X
5%
14.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 35.0 — our 12% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.9pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.2pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
45%
-7.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
55%
+7.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht v Heerenveen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.90/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.28
-20% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
28.2 Crosses 16.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5

Utrecht vs Heerenveen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Heerenveen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 1.32
46% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
314 Passes 414
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-1 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
07.04.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-3 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
20.08.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 0-2 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
04.02.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
29.10.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-2 HT 1-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
08.07.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-1 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HAZ

Utrecht 2-0 Heerenveen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht
2-0
AWAY Heerenveen
1.33 xG 1.38
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
345 Passes 403
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
33 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Utrecht vs Heerenveen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht saw off Heerenveen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Utrecht as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Utrecht had 47% of the ball to Heerenveen's 53%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.33 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Utrecht and 1.00 for Heerenveen.

What was the final score of Utrecht vs Heerenveen?

Utrecht 2-0 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht vs Heerenveen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Utrecht 47%, draw 20%, Heerenveen 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Utrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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