Heerenveen 1-1 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 17 Aug 2024

Heerenveen
1-1 HT 0-1
Utrecht
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Heerenveen vs Utrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.1
Over 2.5
61%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.56
No
34%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
3.04
6+ Goals
14%
9.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.08
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
11%
6.38
X/2
9%
5.33
X/X
14%
5.01
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
24%
3.17
2/X
9%
12.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.9pp
66%
BTTS Yes
60%
+6.0pp
34%
BTTS No
40%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heerenveen v Utrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 45%
-15% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.33/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.28
+2% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.8
18.2 Crosses 18.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Heerenveen vs Utrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Utrecht
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.13
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
365 Passes 313
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-3 HT 0-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
20.08.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 0-2 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
04.02.2023 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
29.10.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-2 HT 1-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
08.07.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-1 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HAZ
27.02.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-2 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL

Heerenveen 1-1 Utrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen
1-1
AWAY Utrecht
2.65 xG 1.06
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
535 Passes 265
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
51 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Heerenveen vs Utrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen and Utrecht couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (66%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Heerenveen had 64% of the ball to Utrecht's 36%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 2.65 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Heerenveen and 1.50 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of Heerenveen vs Utrecht?

Heerenveen 1-1 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen 29%, draw 31%, Utrecht 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Utrecht), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utrecht) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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