RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Groningen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 17 Aug 2024

RKC Waalwijk
1-2 HT 0-1
Groningen
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

RKC Waalwijk vs Groningen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.56
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 24% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.13
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
4%
12.5
X/1
16%
6.17
X/2
10%
5.31
X/X
13%
4.6
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
17%
3.34
2/X
6%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
34%
+11.3pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RKC Waalwijk v Groningen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Groningen EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.47/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.26
+8% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
347 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
17.2 Crosses 19.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

RKC Waalwijk vs Groningen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Groningen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.53 xG 1.51
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
293 Passes 338
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.04.2023 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-1 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
07.10.2022 Groningen Groningen 2-3 HT 1-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
01.05.2022 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-1 HT 3-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
07.11.2021 Groningen Groningen 1-1 HT 0-1 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
20.03.2021 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 3-1 HT 2-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
12.12.2020 Groningen Groningen 2-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL

RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Groningen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
1-2
AWAY Groningen
1.12 xG 2.22
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 1
358 Passes 278
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 25
32 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs Groningen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Groningen edged past RKC Waalwijk 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was RKC Waalwijk at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 57% of the ball to Groningen's 43%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.12 to 2.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, RKC Waalwijk had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 1.33 for Groningen.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs Groningen?

RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Groningen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs Groningen?

Before kick-off our model rated a RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 45%, draw 23%, Groningen 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (RKC Waalwijk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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