Shams Azar Qazvin 3-2 Persepolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
54%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.27
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
54%
Away Win
54%
-0.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.7pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Persepolis EU Bookmakers 58%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
0.43/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.63
-42% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -10%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
207 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Persepolis
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
26.10.2024 Persepolis Persepolis 2-0 HT 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
28.05.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 1-3 HT 0-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
24.12.2023 Persepolis Persepolis 2-1 HT 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Shams Azar Qazvin vs Persepolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shams Azar Qazvin squeezed past Persepolis 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Persepolis at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Persepolis led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shams Azar Qazvin and 2.33 for Persepolis.

What was the final score of Shams Azar Qazvin vs Persepolis?

Shams Azar Qazvin 3-2 Persepolis in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Persepolis?

Before kick-off our model rated an Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shams Azar Qazvin 20%, draw 26%, Persepolis 54%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Persepolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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