Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 Kagoshima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 30 Mar 2025

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1-1 HT 0-0
Kagoshima United
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J3 League – 2025

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kagoshima United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki v Kagoshima United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.28/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.33
+5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
192 · 61% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.6 Crosses 12.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kagoshima United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kagoshima United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-2 HT 1-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
16.04.2023 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 3-3 HT 0-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
16.10.2022 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-2 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
03.04.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
17.10.2021 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 3-2 HT 2-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
25.04.2021 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 1-0 HT 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 Kagoshima United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1-1
AWAY Kagoshima United
45% Ball Possession 55%
3 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 11
216 Passes 277
67% Pass Accuracy 68%
7 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kagoshima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Kagoshima United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 45% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 55%, shots finished 3-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.67 for Kagoshima United.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kagoshima United?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 Kagoshima United in the Japan - J3 League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kagoshima United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kagoshima United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 36%, draw 25%, Kagoshima United 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kagoshima United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kagoshima United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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