ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-2 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 30 Mar 2025

ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0-2 HT 0-1
Giravanz Kitakyushu
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Japan - J3 League – 2025

ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Giravanz Kitakyushu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ThespaKusatsu Gunma v Giravanz Kitakyushu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 36%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.34/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.18
+0% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.3 Crosses 10.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Giravanz Kitakyushu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.10.2021 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-2 HT 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
28.03.2021 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-2 HT 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
10.10.2020 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-0 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
09.08.2020 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-2 HT 1-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
14.11.2015 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-2 HT 1-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
29.03.2015 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-1 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-2 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
0-2
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
527 Passes 184
86% Pass Accuracy 67%
30 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu beat ThespaKusatsu Gunma 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Giravanz Kitakyushu found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 69% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 31%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Giravanz Kitakyushu led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for ThespaKusatsu Gunma and 1.33 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-2 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the Japan - J3 League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated a ThespaKusatsu Gunma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 39%, draw 28%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (ThespaKusatsu Gunma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ThespaKusatsu Gunma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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