Tochigi SC 1-1 Tochigi City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi City EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.00/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.50
-23% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +145%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
201 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.5 Crosses 24.5
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi SC
1-1
AWAY Tochigi City
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 9
153 Passes 100
60% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tochigi SC vs Tochigi City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi SC and Tochigi City shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Tochigi SC had 43% of the ball to Tochigi City's 57%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Tochigi SC vs Tochigi City?

Tochigi SC 1-1 Tochigi City in the Japan - J3 League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi SC vs Tochigi City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tochigi City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tochigi SC 32%, draw 27%, Tochigi City 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tochigi City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tochigi City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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