Atyrau 0-4 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.4pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.9pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atyrau EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +11%
1.13/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.93
+11% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atyrau
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Aktobe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
11.08.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 1-1 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
07.04.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 1-1 HT 1-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
27.08.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
29.04.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZKK
19.04.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 2-2 HT 0-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZKK
16.04.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 4-0 HT 1-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
POST-MATCH Atyrau vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe cruised past Atyrau 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 37% — and on the day Aktobe made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atyrau and 1.33 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Atyrau vs Aktobe?

Atyrau 0-4 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atyrau vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Atyrau 32%, draw 32%, Aktobe 37%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aktobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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