Budafoki MTE 1-2 Ajka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.5pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budafoki MTE EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajka EU Bookmakers 34%
+8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.33/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.15
+0% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budafoki MTE
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Ajka
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2024 Ajka Ajka 2-2 HT 1-1 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
04.02.2024 Ajka Ajka 3-1 HT 2-1 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
06.08.2023 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 2-0 HT 2-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
11.12.2022 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 1-2 HT 0-1 Ajka Ajka MAC2
31.07.2022 Ajka Ajka 3-0 HT 3-0 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
08.05.2022 Ajka Ajka 2-0 HT 1-0 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
POST-MATCH Budafoki MTE vs Ajka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka edged past Budafoki MTE 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Ajka found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajka led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Budafoki MTE and 2.00 for Ajka.

What was the final score of Budafoki MTE vs Ajka?

Budafoki MTE 1-2 Ajka in the Hungary - NB II on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budafoki MTE vs Ajka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Budafoki MTE 36%, draw 26%, Ajka 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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