Sliema Wanderers 2-1 Birkirkara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.56
Over 2.5
54%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.16
No
45%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
60%
-13.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
40%
+13.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
42%
+13.2pp
45%
BTTS No
58%
-13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 24%
-66% / -66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
0.66/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.00
-62% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sliema Wanderers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Birkirkara
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-1 HT 0-1 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
03.10.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-0 HT 0-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
08.05.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-1 HT 0-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTAK
28.01.2024 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
17.09.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-0 HT 0-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
06.03.2022 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sliema Wanderers
2-1
AWAY Birkirkara
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sliema Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Birkirkara 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sliema Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sliema Wanderers had 47% of the ball to Birkirkara's 53%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birkirkara led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sliema Wanderers and 0.50 for Birkirkara.

What was the final score of Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara?

Sliema Wanderers 2-1 Birkirkara in the MALTP on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sliema Wanderers vs Birkirkara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sliema Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sliema Wanderers 43%, draw 27%, Birkirkara 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sliema Wanderers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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