Melita 0-5 Marsaxlokk FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
56%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.18
Over 2.5
42%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
30%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
22%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
56%
Away Win
64%
-8.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
42%
+15.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
58%
-15.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melita EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 69%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.01
+11% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +0%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melita
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 Melita 1-3 HT 0-1 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
24.08.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Melita MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melita
0-5
AWAY Marsaxlokk FC
38% Ball Possession 62%
3 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Melita vs Marsaxlokk FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC cruised past Melita 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marsaxlokk FC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Melita had 38% of the ball to Marsaxlokk FC's 62%, shots finished 3-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Melita and 2.00 for Marsaxlokk FC.

What was the final score of Melita vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Melita 0-5 Marsaxlokk FC in the MALTP on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melita vs Marsaxlokk FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsaxlokk FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Melita 20%, draw 24%, Marsaxlokk FC 56%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marsaxlokk FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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