Spartak Trnava 2-4 Zilina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.74
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Zilina EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.36/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.51
-23% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.7 Crosses 12.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Trnava
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zilina
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 1.23
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 Passes 356
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2025 Zilina Zilina 0-2 HT 0-2 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLOVK
23.11.2024 Zilina Zilina 3-1 HT 3-1 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
18.08.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 0-0 HT 0-0 Zilina Zilina SLVK
27.04.2024 Zilina Zilina 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
31.03.2024 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-0 HT 1-0 Zilina Zilina SLVK
08.12.2023 Zilina Zilina 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Trnava
2-4
AWAY Zilina
1.05 xG 2.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 0
348 Passes 329
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spartak Trnava vs Zilina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zilina saw off Spartak Trnava 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Trnava at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Spartak Trnava had 53% of the ball to Zilina's 47%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 1.05 to 2.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zilina led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Spartak Trnava and 1.00 for Zilina.

What was the final score of Spartak Trnava vs Zilina?

Spartak Trnava 2-4 Zilina in the Slovakia Super League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Trnava vs Zilina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Trnava win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Spartak Trnava 42%, draw 28%, Zilina 30%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spartak Trnava) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Trnava) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVK More Slovakia Super League
30 Mar 2025
16:30 KFC Komarno vs Zemplin Michalovce Analysis →