Lamphun Warrior 3-2 Thai Port FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.11/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.13
-15% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
17.8 Crosses 19.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamphun Warrior
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Thai Port FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
231 Passes 302
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
08.01.2025 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
30.03.2024 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior 2-2 HT 0-1 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
14.08.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Lamphun Warrior Lamphun Warrior TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamphun Warrior
3-2
AWAY Thai Port FC
0.88 xG 1.89
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
226 Passes 315
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lamphun Warrior vs Thai Port FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lamphun Warrior squeezed past Thai Port FC 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Thai Port FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lamphun Warrior had 43% of the ball to Thai Port FC's 57%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.88 to 1.89 — the balance of chances actually favoured Thai Port FC.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Thai Port FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lamphun Warrior and 1.33 for Thai Port FC.

What was the final score of Lamphun Warrior vs Thai Port FC?

Lamphun Warrior 3-2 Thai Port FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamphun Warrior vs Thai Port FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Thai Port FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lamphun Warrior 33%, draw 25%, Thai Port FC 42%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thai Port FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thai Port FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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