Nakhon Pathom 2-4 Muang Thong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2025

Nakhon Pathom
2-4 HT 2-3
Muang Thong United
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Nakhon Pathom vs Muang Thong United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.56
No
53%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.0pp
53%
BTTS No
40%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nakhon Pathom v Muang Thong United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 48%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.36/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.11
-43% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / +40%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
247 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
17.9 Crosses 14.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Nakhon Pathom vs Muang Thong United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Pathom
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Muang Thong United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.27 xG 3.08
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
201 Passes 447
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
11.11.2024 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 3-1 HT 1-0 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom TAY

Nakhon Pathom 2-4 Muang Thong United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Pathom
2-4
AWAY Muang Thong United
2.07 xG 2.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
208 Passes 237
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nakhon Pathom vs Muang Thong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muang Thong United got the better of Nakhon Pathom 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Muang Thong United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Nakhon Pathom had 48% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 52%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.07 to 2.09.

What was the final score of Nakhon Pathom vs Muang Thong United?

Nakhon Pathom 2-4 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Pathom vs Muang Thong United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muang Thong United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Pathom 35%, draw 27%, Muang Thong United 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muang Thong United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muang Thong United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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