Zamora 0-1 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 30 Mar 2025

Zamora
0-1 HT 0-0
UCV
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.54
Over 2.5
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.6pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.04/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.34
+27% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
16.4 Crosses 21.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora
3W-2D-1L
AWAY UCV
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.00 xG 1.30
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
299 Passes 225
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.08.2024 Zamora Zamora 3-2 HT 0-2 UCV UCV VEN
02.03.2024 UCV UCV 2-2 HT 0-2 Zamora Zamora VEN
15.07.2023 UCV UCV 5-0 HT 1-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
01.05.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
02.09.2022 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
18.03.2022 Zamora Zamora 2-0 HT 2-0 UCV UCV VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamora
0-1
AWAY UCV
0.19 xG 2.01
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
190 Passes 277
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zamora vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV edged past Zamora 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day UCV made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Zamora had 45% of the ball to UCV's 55%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.19 to 2.01 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold UCV's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamora had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zamora and 1.67 for UCV.

What was the final score of Zamora vs UCV?

Zamora 0-1 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zamora 31%, draw 29%, UCV 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCV), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UCV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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