Atletico Paranaense 4-1 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 30 Mar 2026

Atletico Paranaense
4 - 1 HT 2 - 1
Botafogo
📅30/03/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.67
Over
44%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.61
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
19%
4.16
6+
4%
20.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.72
1/2
2%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
18%
4.42
X/2
9%
7.44
X/X
18%
4.17
2/1
3%
27.5
2/2
11%
6.05
2/X
5%
14.75
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Atletico Paranaense v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Atletico Paranaense The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo The Market 29%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.66 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.00
0.74 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.38
Average Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Average
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
22 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Botafogo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 0.69
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 Passes 377
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2024 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 0-1 HT 0-1 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
20.06.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
22.10.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
04.06.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
01.06.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BRK
18.05.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 3-2 HT 0-2 Botafogo Botafogo BRK

Atletico Paranaense 4-1 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
4 - 1
AWAY Botafogo
1.34 xG 0.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 8
301 Passes 347
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Box Touches 17
6 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atletico Paranaense swept aside Botafogo 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Paranaense as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

The match data tells the story: Botafogo saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.34 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Atletico Paranaense against 1.00 for Botafogo.

Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo Result & Final Score

Atletico Paranaense 4 - 1 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Atletico Paranaense vs Botafogo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 50%, draw 28%, Botafogo 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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