Club Olimpia 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 30 Apr 2024

Club Olimpia
0-1 HT 0-1
Sportivo Ameliano
📅30/04/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Paraguay - Profesyonel League – 2024

Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
-11.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Club Olimpia v Sportivo Ameliano — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 24%
-12% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.87/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.59
+11% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Olimpia
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.45 xG 1.68
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
316 Passes 156
73% Pass Accuracy 58%
16 Box Touches 14
39 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.03.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 HT 2-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia CON CSA
06.02.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-1 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
12.11.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
21.09.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 4-0 HT 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
30.05.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-3 HT 1-2 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
26.03.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-2 HT 1-1 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR

Club Olimpia 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Olimpia
0-1
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano nicked a narrow win over Club Olimpia 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Club Olimpia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Club Olimpia had 66% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 34%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportivo Ameliano led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Club Olimpia and 1.67 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Club Olimpia 0-1 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 30/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Olimpia vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Club Olimpia 42%, draw 27%, Sportivo Ameliano 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Club Olimpia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Olimpia) ✓ Under 2.5
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