Aswan FC 1-2 El Mansura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aswan FC EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY El Mansura EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.20/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.07
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aswan FC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY El Mansura
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
23.12.2024 El Mansura El Mansura 0-0 Aswan FC Aswan FC MSR2
POST-MATCH Aswan FC vs El Mansura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Mansura nicked a narrow win over Aswan FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aswan FC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Aswan FC vs El Mansura?

Aswan FC 1-2 El Mansura in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aswan FC vs El Mansura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aswan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aswan FC 50%, draw 25%, El Mansura 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aswan FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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