30/04/2025
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
0-1
Derot vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
43%
41%
Draw
32%
28%
Away Win
24%
62%
Under 2.5
60%
38%
Over 2.5
40%
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
57%
BTTS No
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derot v Ghazl Kafr El Dawar — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Derot
EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
EU Bookmakers 28%
-64% /
-64%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+17% /
+17%
0.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.61/0.44
-100%
/
-12%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-39%
/
+119%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
340 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
308 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
2.2
Derot vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Derot
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
5
3
Corners
2
3
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Derot vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Derot and Ghazl Kafr El Dawar shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
As we said in the preview, our model had the draw as the likeliest outcome at 41%, and the draw held. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.
What was the final score of Derot vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar?
Derot 1-1 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derot vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Derot 31%, draw 41%, Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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MSR2
More Egypt - 2nd Division
30 Apr 2025