Derot 1-1 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.12
Draw
41%
2.77
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
43%
-12.5pp
41%
Draw
32%
+8.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.4pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derot EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar EU Bookmakers 28%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.44
-100% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +119%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derot
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2024 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 1-1 Derot Derot MSR2
POST-MATCH Derot vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derot and Ghazl Kafr El Dawar shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

As we said in the preview, our model had the draw as the likeliest outcome at 41%, and the draw held. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Derot vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar?

Derot 1-1 Ghazl Kafr El Dawar in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derot vs Ghazl Kafr El Dawar?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Derot 31%, draw 41%, Ghazl Kafr El Dawar 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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