Asyut Petroleum 1-2 Abu Qair Semad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - 2nd Division, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.48
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
41%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
19%
+11.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
40%
Away Win
52%
-11.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.0pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asyut Petroleum EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Abu Qair Semad EU Bookmakers 56%
+65% / +65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.50/0.50
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +58%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
248 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asyut Petroleum
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Abu Qair Semad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
23.12.2024 Abu Qair Semad Abu Qair Semad 0-0 Asyut Petroleum Asyut Petroleum MSR2
18.12.2023 Asyut Petroleum Asyut Petroleum 2-1 HT 1-1 Abu Qair Semad Abu Qair Semad MSR2
POST-MATCH Asyut Petroleum vs Abu Qair Semad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abu Qair Semad nicked a narrow win over Asyut Petroleum 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Abu Qair Semad made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Asyut Petroleum had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Asyut Petroleum and 0.50 for Abu Qair Semad.

What was the final score of Asyut Petroleum vs Abu Qair Semad?

Asyut Petroleum 1-2 Abu Qair Semad in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asyut Petroleum vs Abu Qair Semad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Abu Qair Semad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Asyut Petroleum 30%, draw 29%, Abu Qair Semad 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Abu Qair Semad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Abu Qair Semad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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