Kiboga Young 0-1 Maroons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
55%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
28%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
26%
-6.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
55%
Away Win
50%
+5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kiboga Young EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Maroons EU Bookmakers 54%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.07
-100% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -69%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kiboga Young
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Maroons
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
02.01.2025 Maroons Maroons 1-0 Kiboga Young UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kiboga Young
0-1
AWAY Maroons
45% Ball Possession 55%
2 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kiboga Young vs Maroons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maroons squeezed past Kiboga Young 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Maroons as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kiboga Young had 45% of the ball to Maroons's 55%, shots finished 2-14.

What was the final score of Kiboga Young vs Maroons?

Kiboga Young 0-1 Maroons in the Uganda - Premier League on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kiboga Young vs Maroons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Maroons win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Kiboga Young 20%, draw 25%, Maroons 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maroons), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maroons) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
30 Apr 2025
16:00 Kitara vs Wakiso Giants Analysis →
16:00 Bright Stars vs Express Analysis →
19:00 URA vs SC Villa Analysis →