URA 1-1 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 30 Apr 2025

URA
1-1 HT 1-0
SC Villa
📅30/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.7pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME URA EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 31%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.28/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/1.36
+14% / +118% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -63% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME URA
1W-1D-1L
AWAY SC Villa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
04.01.2025 SC Villa SC Villa 1-0 HT 0-0 URA URA UGA
27.03.2022 URA URA 3-1 HT 1-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
07.12.2021 SC Villa SC Villa 2-2 HT 2-1 URA URA UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME URA
1-1
AWAY SC Villa
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH URA vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

URA and SC Villa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was URA at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, URA had 45% of the ball to SC Villa's 55%, shots finished 11-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for URA and 1.33 for SC Villa.

What was the final score of URA vs SC Villa?

URA 1-1 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for URA vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated a URA win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split URA 42%, draw 31%, SC Villa 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (URA), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (URA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
30 Apr 2025
16:00 Kiboga Young vs Maroons Analysis →
16:00 Kitara vs Wakiso Giants Analysis →
16:00 Bright Stars vs Express Analysis →